GMG - Las Vegas Weekly

September 4, 2014

Las Vegas Weekly

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∑ Cleveland Browns The Johnny Manziel circus will be all-encompassing, and Las Vegas High product Billy Winn, a starting defensive end, will be part of the sideshow. ∑ Dallas Cowboys Running back DeMarco Murray was a three-time all-conference player at Bishop Gorman from 2003-2005. ∑ Denver Broncos They set records for both touchdowns (76) and points in a season (606) last year. Don't blink. ∑ Detroit Lions Not only is Detroit the lone team ever to go 0-16, it's also one of four fran- chises to never reach the Super Bowl. The torture must end eventually. ∑ Green Bay Packers A sold- out crowd showed up at Lambeau Field for the Packers' last home game in January—despite a wind chill below -20 degrees Fahrenheit. ∑ Houston Texans Defensive ends J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney will gobble up opposing quarterbacks all season long. ∑ Indianapolis Colts Superstar quarterback Andrew Luck rocks a hipster beard, a cavernous voice and an elevated IQ. What's not to like? ∑ Jacksonville Jaguars Might as well root for the team with the best chance to be located within a couple hundred miles of Las Vegas soon. The LA Jaguars isn't a far-fetched proposition. ∑ Kansas City Chiefs If you won a fantasy football league last year, chances are it was because of Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles. ∑ Miami Dolphins Like watching QBs get pummeled? Miami's Ryan Tannehill has been sacked a cringe-inducing 95 times over the last two seasons. Ouch. ∑ Minnesota Vikings You can monitor the team's future 24/7, through an all- day, all-night webcam documenting con- struction on a stadium set to open in 2016. ∑ New England Patriots Tom Brady has boyish good looks, a supermodel wife and millions of dollars, yet he's des- perate for a fourth Super Bowl ring before he retires. ∑ New Orleans Saints The Saints will win their second Super Bowl in fi ve years come February. You heard it here fi rst. ∑ New York Giants Eli Manning might not be as tal- ented as Peyton, but at family get-togethers he can still fl ash two Super Bowl rings to big brother's one. ∑ New York Jets Five of the Jets' eight wins last year came by a touch- down or less. ∑ Philadelphia Eagles The Eagles employ one of the quickest paces in NFL history, leaving a trip to the pan- MANZIEL BY TONY DEJAK/AP SEPTEMBER 410, 2014 LASVEGASWEEKLY.COM 17 WATT BY JACK DEMPSEY/AP; CHARLES BY CHARLIE RIEDEL/AP Denver Broncos (13-to-2) Super Bowl runners-up have been more reliable the following season by most measures; four of the last ive posted winning records against the spread and three won at least one playo game. San Francisco 49ers (7-to-1) Be wary of the new Levi's Stadium—home-ield advantage typically takes a while to kick in, and oddsmakers will continue to give the 49ers the same adjustment they got for years at Candle- stick Park. New England Patriots (7-to-1) The Patriots are an NFL-best 91645 against the spread over the past decade, but just 611 versus the number in the play- o s since their last Super Bowl win. Green Bay Packers (8-to-1) The best way to bet on Green Bay might not be point spreads, but totals. The o ense- centric Packers have pushed 60 percent of their games over the over/ under since winning Super Bowl 45. New Orleans Saints (13-to-1) Odd- smakers rate the Superdome as the best home-ield advantage in football, and despite the inlated spreads, the Saints went 80-straight-up and 71 against the spread at home last sea- son. –Case Keefer > BIG SEASONS AHEAD? The Texans' J.J. Watt, above, and the Chiefs' Jamaal Charles Given the way Seattle stomped Denver in the Super Bowl seven months ago, Las Vegas sports books will be hard-pressed to ind anyone willing to bet against the Seahawks. The defending champs enter the 2014 season as Las Vegas' top power-rated team. They're favorites in all but one game in CG Technology sports books' full-season lines—a Week 13 trip to archrival San Francisco—and the top Super Bowl choice at 4-to-1 odds at the South Point. But recent history warns of the pitfalls of betting on the defending champions. Not only has no team repeated since the '04-'05 New England Patriots, but only one team has as much as won a playo game. Six of the nine teams posted a losing record against the spread during their title-defense campaign. That evidence might support the belief of the NFL as a parity- driven league, but South Point's future odds may digress. Including the Seahawks, six teams rate above the rest with a combined probability of 60 percent of winning the next Super Bowl. Here are the other ive with their Super Bowl odds and a betting note. Denver Broncos They set records for both touchdowns (76) and points in a season (606) last year. Don't blink. Detroit Lions Not only is Detroit the lone team ever to go 0-16, it's also one of four fran- chises to never reach the Super Bowl. The torture must end eventually. Green Bay A sold- last home game in January—despite a wind chill below -20 degrees Houston Texans Defensive ends J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney will gobble up opposing quarterbacks all Indianapolis Colts Superstar quarterback Andrew Luck rocks a hipster beard, a cavernous voice and an elevated IQ. What's not to like? Jacksonville Jaguars Might as well root for the team with the best ∑ Miami Dolphins Like watching QBs get pummeled? Miami's Ryan Tannehill has been sacked a cringe-inducing 95 times over the last two seasons. Ouch. ∑ Minnesota Vikings the team's future 24/7, through an all- day, all-night webcam documenting con- struction on a stadium set to open in 2016. ∑ New England Patriots boyish good looks, a supermodel wife and millions of dollars, yet he's des- perate for a fourth Super Bowl ring before he retires. ∑ The Saints will win their second Super Bowl in fi ve years come February. You heard it here fi rst. ∑ New York Giants Manning might not be as tal- ented as Peyton, but at family get-togethers he can still fl ash two Super Bowl rings to big brother's one. ∑ New York Jets eight wins last year came by a touch- down or less. ∑ Philadelphia Eagles employ one of the quickest paces in NFL history, leaving a trip to the pan- advantage typically takes a while to kick in, and oddsmakers will continue to give the 49ers the same adjustment they got for years at Candle- stick Park. But recent history warns of the pitfalls of betting on the defending champions. Not only has no team repeated since the '04-'05 New England Patriots, but only one team has as much as won a playo game. Six of the nine teams posted a losing record against the spread during their title-defense campaign. That evidence might support the belief of the NFL as a parity- driven league, but South Point's future odds may digress. Including the Seahawks, six teams rate above the rest with a combined probability of 60 percent of winning the next Super Bowl. Here are the other ive with their Super Bowl odds and a YOU CAN BET ON IT Tips and trends to consider at the window Continued on Page 18

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